NFL Week 2 stats to know Can Tom Brady finally figure out the Saints

NFL Week 2 stats to know Can Tom Brady finally figure out the Saints

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Here are two stat lines for your consideration, going back to 2020:Player A: 25-5 record, 78 touchdown pa ses, 17 interceptions, 105.9 pa ser ratingPlayer B: 0-4 record, 6 touchdown pa ses 8 interceptions, 71.5 pa ser ratingPlayer A is against every team he's faced in the regular season -- except one -- since joining the . Player B is Tom Brady against that one team: the .New Orleans' spell over Brady since 2020 is one of the more mystifying things the seven-time Super Bowl champion has dealt with in his career. He'll try to solve it again Sunday. Here are the stats to know.Buccaneers at SaintsWhen the Buccaneers have the ball ...The numbers above are pretty self-explanatory for Brady, but they don't nece sarily provide a reason he has had trouble with the Saints. So let's look into it.One thing that has historically bothered Brady is pre sure, . That's in part what makes the Saints so good. Take a look at how Brady's fared under pre sure since joining Tampa Bay. Tom Brady Since 2020vs Saintsvs Any Other TeamSack rate7.4%2.6%Pre sure rate32.2%20.9%Pre sure rate when not blitzed31.4%19.3%Pa ser rating when pre sured23.768.4Pa ser rating when not blitzed73.2103.4What does this tell us? The Saints don't need to blitz to pre sure Brady, a ma sive advantage for any defense but especially for the uber-aggre sive New Orleans defense. Since 2020, Brady has a 4 percent interception rate against four or fewer rushers when facing the Saints; he J.J. Watt Jersey has a 1.2 percent interception rate against four or fewer rushers when facing any other team. Furthermore, the Saints have been able to effectively play man coverage behind those non-blitzesTom Brady Against 4 or Fewer Pa s Rushers and Man Coverage Since 2020vs Saintsvs Any Other TeamTD-Int2-321-2Int rate8.8%1.0%Expected points added per dropback-0.440.47It's not a complicated formula: The Saints are good enough up front to get pre sure without blitzing, and when you can do that play man-to-man coverage behind it, you're tough to beat. Given the absence of and the likely bigger role for , Brady may want to hold onto the ball longer to give downfield threats like Jones and more deep chances.Whether he'll be able to do that against a Saints defense that has frustrated him time and time again is another question.When the Saints have the ball ... has always been a quarterback with which you have to live with both the highs and the lows. Remember his 33-touchdown, 30-interception 2019 season? The highs haven't been quite as high and the lows haven't been nearly as Houston Texans Women Jersey low in his time as the Saints starter, but they're still there.Jameis Winston Since 2021NFL Rank<<Pa ser rating104.22ndTD-Int Ratio5.332ndYds per comp12.23rdOff-target pct15.9%37thPre sure rate faced40.5%35thBasically, Winston has nearly cut out the interceptions completely -- a major reason why he's been able to revive his career as a starter -- but he's still a player who looks to throw the ball downfield, often with varying accuracy. And because he likes deep pa ses, he puts a lot of pre sure on his offensive line. Since the start of last season, Winston has taken 2.75 seconds to throw from the pocket, the longest of any player.That could be a challenge against Tampa Bay. The Bucs defense looked terrific in Week 1 against Dallas, allowing just three points and 4.7 yards per pa s attempt. Since the start of last season, Tampa Bay has blitzed on 35.2% of dropbacks, second-highest in the NFL, and pre sured quarterbacks on 33.5 percent of dropbacks, fifth-highest in the NFL.This is also somewhat of a revenge game for Winston, who tore his ACL on a horse collar tackle by when these teams met in Week 8 last year. While Winston only attempted 10 pa ses in the contest before the injury, it's clear the Saints knew the sort of pre sure the Buccaneers like to bring and tried to combat it.Jameis Winston in 2021vs Buccaneersvs Any Other TeamsAvg yds downfield per pa s att1.88.8Pct of pa ses to RB or TE60%44%Pre sure rate28.6%43.4%Pct of throws out in under 2.5 sec70%29.8%The Saints wanted Davis Mills Jersey to get the ball out of Winston's hands -- often to running backs and tight ends, especially given the team's dearth at wide receiver last year. This is obviously a tiny sample size, but it wouldn't be all too surprising to see a similar strategy employed again Sunday. This season, the Saints have a bevy of players who can get open quickly -- , , and chief among them -- and if Winston can take what the defense gives him, it could open up more intermediate and deep shots later in the game.How to watchDate:Sunday, Sept. 18|Time:1 p.m. ETLocation:Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)TV:Fox|Stream:fuboTV ()Follow:Odds:Saints +2.5, O/U 44.5
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